DB Breweries profit falls as alcohol demand drops, excise costs rise

NZ Herald

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Summary

Lower demand for alcohol from pubs and bars has hit DB Breweries in the pocket with its latest financials revealing a 73% drop in profit between 2023 and 2024. But managing director Matt Wilson believes while the market is feeling the effects of the wider economy,

Source: NZ Herald

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Q1: What are the main drivers behind recent consumer innovation in the retail alcohol sector?

A1: Recent consumer innovation in the retail alcohol sector has been driven by digital transformation, changing consumer preferences, and the adoption of advanced analytics. The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated online grocery and alcohol ordering, prompting retailers to deploy artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning to optimize logistics, demand forecasting, and customer engagement. Retailers are leveraging these technologies to adapt to shifting buying patterns, supply chain disruptions, and the need for personalized marketing strategies.

Q2: How have artificial intelligence and advanced analytics transformed inventory and customer engagement in retail environments?

A2: Artificial intelligence and advanced analytics have revolutionized inventory management and customer engagement by enabling real-time monitoring, predictive demand forecasting, and personalized shopping experiences. Smart retail analytics systems now use machine learning models, such as YOLOV8 and object-tracking algorithms, to optimize customer tracking, generate heat maps, and enhance store operations. These innovations help retailers adjust stock levels, reduce inefficiencies, and improve customer satisfaction.

Q3: What historical movements have influenced consumer demand for alcoholic beverages?

A3: The temperance movement and Prohibition in the United States were significant historical movements that influenced consumer demand for alcoholic beverages. The temperance movement promoted abstinence and led to national prohibitions in several countries, including the U.S. Prohibition (1920–1933) resulted in a sharp decline in alcohol consumption and a shift in public attitudes toward alcohol. Although Prohibition was later repealed, such movements have left a lasting impact on alcohol regulation and consumer behavior.

Q4: What does recent scholarly research reveal about the link between innovative consumer characteristics and leisure-related innovation?

A4: A 2025 study found a positive correlation between consumers who engage in serious leisure activities and their likelihood to adopt and innovate new products. The analysis showed that individuals with diverse product experiences and those who are early adopters of new products are more inclined to engage in user-led innovation. However, information exchange among consumers was not directly linked to increased innovation, suggesting that personal motivations and involvement in leisure are stronger predictors.

Q5: How has the diffusion of innovation among consumers changed with advancements in technology and social networks?

A5: Recent research demonstrates that technological advancements and strong social networks accelerate the diffusion of innovation. Radical innovations spread quickly at first but may plateau, while incremental innovations experience a steadier acceleration. Social networks that promote exposure to early adopters and reduce homophily—where individuals associate only with similar peers—facilitate faster and broader adoption of new products and practices.

Q6: What are the economic implications of reduced alcohol demand and rising excise costs for breweries?

A6: Reduced alcohol demand, particularly from on-premise venues like pubs and bars, directly impacts brewery revenues. When combined with rising excise costs, breweries face significant profit declines, as seen with a 73% drop in profit reported by DB Breweries between 2023 and 2024. This economic pressure compels breweries to innovate in product offerings, explore alternative sales channels, and optimize operational efficiencies to remain competitive.

Q7: How are regulatory developments and digital currencies influencing retail innovation in consumer markets?

A7: Regulatory developments, such as the exploration of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) like the digital pound in the UK, are shaping retail innovation by promoting monetary stability and trust in digital payment systems. Measures such as customer fund protection, robust regulation, and interoperability across payment systems are being implemented to support safe innovation. These regulatory steps foster consumer confidence and enable retailers to adopt new digital payment solutions, enhancing the overall retail experience.

References:

  • Temperance movement, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Temperance_movement
  • Prohibition in the United States, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prohibition_in_the_United_States