Budget 2026: The exercise has increasingly become a ritual rather than a remedy

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Summary

India has risen to be the worlds fourth-largest economy by GDP. Yet among roughly 200 countries, it ranks about 142nd in GDP per capita.

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Q1: What are the key factors contributing to India's projected GDP growth in 2026?

A1: India's GDP growth for 2026 is projected to be driven by strong domestic demand, low inflation, and strategic investments. The Reserve Bank of India revised the growth forecast to 7.3% due to easing price pressures and a supportive monetary policy environment. Key contributors include robust private consumption and significant public investment, despite global trade uncertainties and tariffs affecting exports.

Q2: How does India's GDP per capita compare to other major economies?

A2: As of 2024, India's GDP per capita was approximately $2,694, significantly lower than advanced economies such as Japan, which stood at $32,487, and Germany at $56,103. Despite being the world's fourth-largest economy by nominal GDP, India's per capita income remains substantially lower, highlighting income distribution and economic disparity challenges.

Q3: What are the challenges faced by India in maintaining its economic growth momentum?

A3: India faces several challenges in sustaining its growth, including global trade tensions, high tariffs on exports, and rupee depreciation. The U.S.-India trade deal delays and steep tariffs have created economic headwinds. Additionally, structural reforms and continued investment are crucial for maintaining growth amidst these external pressures.

Q4: How has India's economic policy evolved since the 1991 liberalization?

A4: Since the 1991 economic liberalization, India has shifted from a protectionist model to a more open economy with significant reforms in trade, investment, and regulatory frameworks. This shift has facilitated foreign direct investment, increased competitiveness, and integration into the global economy. The service sector has become a major GDP contributor, and private participation in strategic sectors like telecom and space has grown.

Q5: What is the significance of India's trade agreements in its economic strategy?

A5: India's trade agreements are pivotal in diversifying its economic partnerships and enhancing trade flows. Agreements with ASEAN, Japan, South Korea, and the European Union, among others, aim to bolster trade and investment ties. These partnerships help mitigate the impact of global trade uncertainties and support India's economic resilience by expanding market access and reducing dependency on a few trading partners.

Q6: How does private consumption influence India's GDP?

A6: Private consumption is a critical driver of India's GDP, constituting nearly 70% of the economy. The strong domestic market supports GDP growth by sustaining demand for goods and services. This reliance on domestic consumption provides a buffer against external shocks, such as global trade disruptions, and underpins economic stability.

Q7: What role does the service sector play in India's economy?

A7: The service sector is a major pillar of India's economy, accounting for around 55% of GDP. It includes IT services, telecommunications, and financial services, which have seen robust growth. The sector's expansion is supported by a skilled workforce and technological advancements. It is instrumental in driving economic growth, attracting foreign investment, and enhancing India's global economic stature.

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